November – Buyers Market – Slow and Steady

Posted on December 7, 2012

 

VICTORIA REAL ESTATE SALES SLOW BUT STEADY IN BUYERS’ MARKET

 

VICTORIA, BC—While the number of single-family home sales has held relatively steady over the last three months, Greater Victoria REALTORS® are noting a year-over-year decrease that coincided with tighter mortgage regulations imposed in July of this year. Amortization periods were reduced to 25 years for high-ratio buyers – those with less than 20% down payments.

 

“The change from a 30- to 25-year amortization can result in an additional $150 to $200 on the monthly mortgage payment, which impacting many first-time homebuyers and limiting the number entering the market,” says Carol Crabb, President of the Victoria Real Estate Board.

 

Crabb also notes that the median price for a single-family home in Victoria remains relatively flat, increasing 1% over November 2011. “Sales may have slowed, but the average price of single-family homes has not decreased. Condominiums, the primary option for those first-time buyers, have a decreased median price of 10%.”

 

Total MLS® sales for November 2012 were 366 compared to 373 the previous month; 202 single-family homes sold throughout the Victoria Real Estate Board’s region, compared to 293 in November 2011. The median price for single family homes was $540,000, up 1% from last November’s median of $536,500. The average price for the same period is up $48,373 (8%), but this is influenced by two sales over $2 million and one sale over $5 million. Month-over-month, the six-month average for single-family homes is flat.

 

“We are now moving into the slower winter season. Both Canada Mortgage and Housing (CMHC) and Cameron Muir, Chief Economist of BC Real Estate Association, predict the next few months will mirror October and November, followed by slow growth for the balance of 2013,” Crabb says. BC and Greater Victoria continue to experience strong full-time employment growth, an expanding population and low mortgage rates.

 

“For buyers, there is a good supply of homes on the market, so while they have time to conduct due diligence they shouldn’t expect large reductions on all properties. We are still seeing quick sales and the occasional bidding war on homes that are priced well.

 

“Sellers have a lot of competition, so curb appeal, how the house shows and competitive pricing are key to moving from ‘For Sale’ to ‘Sold’,” Crabb says.

Condominium sales remain stable with 98 in November 2012, compared to 92 in October 2012 and 104 in November 2011, although the year-over-year median price has declined 10%. Townhome sales declined 38% in 12 months, while pricing remains flat.

 

Total Waterfront Single Family Dwellings sold:                     6, down 4 from November 2011

Total Non-waterfront Single Family Dwellings sold:          196, down 97 sales from November 2011

Single Family Dwellings sold over $1 million:                         17 (2 over $2 million, 1 over $5 million)

 

 

STATS QUICK REFERENCE

November 2012, MLS® Real Estate Sales and Average Prices, Greater Victoria

 

2012 – November

2012 – October

2011 – November

No of Sales

Average
Price $

Median
Price $

No of Sales

Average
Price $

Median
Price $

No of Sales

Average Price $

Median Price $

Single Family Gr. Victoria

184

643,832

545,000

190

592,097

526,500

271

592,034

530,000

Single FamilyOther Areas

18

529,392

473,000

21

437,595

425,000

22

501,824

428,000

Total* Single Family All areas

202

633,634

540,000

211

576,720

506,000

293

585,261

536,500

Condos

98

269,059

265,000

92

274,072

255,000

104

320,558

296,000

Townhomes

30

408,653

358,450

35

387,769

382,450

48

380,675

360,000

ManufacturedHomes

13

146,415

120,000

6

-122,417

127,850

10

216,040

172,000

TOTAL RESIDENTIAL

343

 

 

344

 

 

455

 

 

TOTAL SALES

366

 

 

373

 

 

482

 

 

TOTAL ACTIVE LISTINGS

4,488

 

 

4,876

 

 

4,329

 

 

 

 

November 2012, MLS® Real Estate Sales and Six-Month Average Prices over October 2012

Number of Sales (Gr. Victoria only) November 2012                       COMPARED TO OCTOBER 2012
SINGLE FAMILY                                                                     CONDOS                                                        TOWNHOMES
184                                                                       98                                                           29

-3.16%                                                                6.52%                                                     – 6.45%

 

Number of Sales (All Areas) November 2012                                            COMPARED TO OCTOBER 2012

SINGLE FAMILY                                                                     CONDOS                                                          TOWNHOMES

202                                                                         98                                                       30

– 4.27%                                                                    6.52%                                               – 14.29%

 

Six-Month Average Price (Gr. Victoria only) November 2012              COMPARED TO OCTOBER 2012

SINGLE FAMILY                                                                                     CONDOS                                                          TOWNHOMES

$596,197                                                            $308,399                                               $414,651

– 0.08%                                                                 – 1.90%                                                 0.29%

 

Six-Month Average Price (All Areas) November 2012                             COMPARED TO OCTOBER 2012

SINGLE FAMILY                                                                CONDOS                                                                TOWNHOMES

$590,325                                                            $308,374                                                 $408,347

– 0.21%                                                             – 1.79%                                                     – 0.05%

 

* Total Single Family All Areas includes Shawnigan Lake/Malahat, Gulf Islands and Up Island

 

While the use of average price information can be useful in establishing trends when applied over a period of time, e.g. six months or longer, the Victoria Real Estate Board cautions that an average price does not indicate the actual value of any particular property. Those requiring specific information on property values should contact a REALTOR®.


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